Kentucky Derby Betting
Basketball Betting Odds
Baseball Betting
World Cup Betting
Chicago, Spokane duel on NFL Network Friday
2010-07-23
This week’s Friday night NFL Network broadcast of the Arena Football League features Chicago visiting Spokane in a battle of division leaders in the National Conference. Both teams have clinched playoff spots, with the Shock having wrapped up the West Division as well. Spokane has clinched the top seed in the conference playoffs already, and has little to play for. Thanks to Rush QB Russ Michna being placed on IR Wednesday, bettors have seen the line climb from the Shock as 7-point favorites at opener to 10-points now, according to Sportsbook.com.
Chicago wraps up its season here and needs a win to maintain any chance at winning the Midwest Division over Milwaukee. The Iron have games remaining at Iowa and Cleveland, and with the way they have struggled on the road this season, Chicago has to like its chances. Still, taking care of business here first is job #1.
This will be the largest underdog pointspread that Chicago has faced all season long, and it is warranted only by the Shock’s success, not by the situation of what’s at stake for each team. Spokane has won 10 games in a row, including four at home, but is a modest 6-4 ATS during the stretch. Making matters even stranger in terms of the line, Spokane hasn’t been favored by this much over any team in two months when they were laying 13.5-points to lowly Utah.
Spokane does solid work on both sides of the football, scoring 62.6 PPG and allowing 52.1 PPG. Each of those figures represents the #2 ranking in the Arena Football League currently, behind Milwaukee and Tampa Bay, respectively. Chicago does its best work on offense through the air, as Michna was averaging 8.8 yards per pass attempt, third in the league.
J.J. Ratternik will step in for Michna and is looking to make his Rush debut. He spent the 2009 season with the Quad City Steamwheelers playing in 10 games and finishing the season with 54 touchdowns and a 105.64 rating, so it isn’t like he is inexperienced with the AFL rules.
There is only one StatFox Power Trend worthy of significance heading into Friday night’s contest and it concerns Chicago’s troubles against good offensive teams:
• CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 55 or more points/game since 1996. The average score was CHICAGO 47.1, OPPONENT 57.1 - (Rating = 0*)
The problem with that angle, at this point, there’s no definitive word on how much Spokane’s coaching staff plans to utilize the services of quarterback Kyle Rowley or any of the other starters.
The StatFox Power Line shows Spokane should be favored by 14 points, but the Outplay Factor Rating indicates only 7.5 points prior to home field advantage. Considering that Chicago is a prominent 5-2 SU & 4-2-1 ATS on the road (same SU mark as Spokane at home), it would be a stretch to figure that edge is 3-points or more.
Don’t be surprised to see a more motivated Chicago team come up big in front of a national TV audience at 8:00 PM ET.
First of all, Jay Cutler needs to improve his horrible touchdown to interception ratio (27 to 26) that he posted in 2009. That interception total is by far the most he has thrown in his four year NFL career. Not only does he need to develop more consistency in 2010 with ratio, but his receivers need to do so as well. Chicago does not have a true No.1 or star receiver. Who the heck in the NFL [at least at the moment] is afraid of Earl Bennett, Devin Aromashodu, Rashied Davis, Juaquin Iglesias, and Johnny Know? No one that's who. Even each of those five receivers have talent and athleticism of their own, neither one of them have established themselves in the NFL as of yet and part of the reason for that is their youth. Neither one of them have been with the Bears for more than four full seasons.
So that in essence is what Cutler has to deal with. Matt Forte, their star two-dimensional running back, is the best overall player on their offense these days but he CANNOT do it all alone. His body can only take so much. But Cutler despite all the youth and lack of big time ability at receiver, has to be held accountable too. Those receivers are in the NFL for a reason, which means that they belong in this league somehow, and smart NFL betting knows that the Bears have had some real trouble at the Receiver position.
Cutler has the arm strength, the accuracy (when he wants to), the brains (he went to Vanderbilt for God sakes!), and the talent to succeed in this league. But this writer doubts he will ever get as far as he is capable of with the receivers they have. Tight end Greg Olsen is a stud, but he like Forte is only one man (although a very talented man). Olsen is not only a safety valve for Cutler, but he is a heck of an athlete and he can be a vital weapon when the receivers are jammed up in coverage. But don't think defenses haven't seen how much of a vital cog Olsen is to this offense. Because if he gets hurt or goes down, Chicago is in trouble.
The good thing about Cutler though, is that he doesn't have to worry about looking over his shoulder for competition at his position. Caleb Hanie, Brett Basanez, and rookie Dan LeFevour are future players who aren't ready to start for anyone in this league let alone the Bears right now.
Cutler has been tantalizing Bears fans with his talent but one year is an unfair time to assess him. If he stinks up the joint with another INT to TD ratio like in 2009, there may be calls for his head. Barring injury and huge inconsistency, Cutler should be much better in 2010. The Bears have the defense and just enough talent to make some noise in the NFC North. Adding former Minnesota and Baltimore standout Chester Taylor at running back will help the Bears and Forte in 2010. Like Forte, Taylor has been stupendously successful as a runner and pass catcher out of the backfield. The onus for the Bears to be successful offensively in 2010 doesn't all fall on Cutler's shoulder's, those receivers have to step up too. Bennett though 4th on the team in catches and 3rd in receiving yards, but its time for him to start making the transition to between 900 to 1,000 yards receiving. He and Cutler played two years together at Vanderbilt, so there has to be some synchronicity with those two.
But if Cutler goes down to injury so goes the Bears season. He, Forte, and the development of the Bears receivers are some of the most vital elements of whatever the Bears will do in 2010, and NFL betting are keeping a keen eye on them. They have the defense, the starting offensive line is good (although 40 percent of it is aging), and head coach Lovie Smith believes in Cutler. New offensive coordinator Mike Martz demands perfection and Cutler will have to adjust or there could be some problems between those two. Martz loves to throw the ball and tire out defenses with multiple passing routes, and Cutler excels at throwing intermediate, short, and deep passes. Cutler has the talent to succeed in Martz's offense, and his systems for years have made some already gifted or talented receivers and quarterbacks look even better than they should. Then there's the fiasco in San Francisco with Martz and Alex Smith. And Smith is a calm guy and Cutler is not exactly the quietest guy in the room.
Martz and Cutler's relationship could either blow up in the Bears faces or their relationship could place Cutler in the Pro Bowl for years to come. Its pressure being an NFL quarterback, and this story shows that. Cutler has a lot to overcome if he hopes to take the Bears to the next level.
Where do you do your NFL betting? Head over to www.sportsbook.com where everybody bets.
Injuries are apart of the game and not every player can be on point all the time. But enough is enough, the Raiders HAVE to turn it around in 2010 or some heads will roll in their organization.
Head Coach Tom Cable is a hard working, blue-collar, and focused coach who before the 2010 season was in way over his head. But now the Raiders have the pieces in place to make a run at least at between 8-8 and 9-7 records. Playoffs? That is going too far. Cable's job hinges on if Jason Campbell has the season he is capable of and the Raiders receivers and running backs play to and above their potential, and the NFL betting community agrees.
The Raiders have a defense good enough to keep them in games, although the youth and lack of long term starting experience on that unit is something to be pondered about. Talent and athleticism has never been a problem for Raiders defenses in the past 2000s decade, it has been consistency, injuries, and underachievement.
The defensive line and the secondary are the positions where its members are most proven and experienced. The projected starters for the defensive line are defensive ends Lamarr Houston (rookie-2nd round draft pick) and Richard Seymour, as well as defensive tackles Tommy Kelly and Desmond Bryant. Two of those players [Seymour and Kelly] started together in 2009 for the Raiders and right now they are by far the most proven players and the best of the lot of the starter on D-Line. Plus the Raiders have alternates/backups all over the place on this unit who can provide pass rush, depth, and relief among other things for the starters.
As for the linebackers there is just too much youth and unproven players there to expect too much out of them. Rookie first round pick Rolando McClain takes over for the traded Kirk Morrison at inside linebacker. McClain has a heck of a road to cover to replace Morrison, but eventually McClain will be better than Morrison. Trevor Scott is a converted defensive end who was not a full-time starter in 2009 and the recent Kamerion Wimbley in some respects was considered a bust in Cleveland. Wimbley has so much talent as a pass rusher but is up to him and coaches Mike Haluchak (linebackers) and John Marshall (defensive coordinator) to coax that talent out of him.
The Raiders have one of the better secondaries in the AFC, but free safety Michael Huff's game has to catch up with the rest of the secondary for the unit to be at its best.
The wide receivers in 2010 have got to take pressure off of Pro Bowl tight end Zach Miller. Darrius Heyward-Bey, Louis Murphy, Chaz Schilens, and Johnnie Lee Higgins have to pick up where they left off from 2009 and start seriously thinking about approaching between 800 through 1,000 yard seasons (especially Murphy and Heyward-Bey). That foursome MUST step up and be held accountable for new quarterback Jason Campbell to succeed. Heyward-Bey has the dilemma of not only proving that he was worthy of being picked eight in the 2009 NFL Draft, but that the Raiders made the right choice in selecting him over the more talented and Michael Crabtree who went to the 49ers a little latter in the first round of that draft. All those in NFL betting know that the Raiders are famous for poor draft picks.
Bottom line is if the Raiders' receivers and running backs don't stay healthy and consistent in 2010, the Raiders are in trouble no matter how good their defense plays. Darren McFadden, Michael Bush, and Justin Fargas (and maybe even on the downside of his career, and fellow running back Michael Bennett) have to stay in the lineup and use the talent they were born with. EVERY single position on the Raiders has to work in 2010 for them to do anything in 2010. If there ever was a team in the NFL in 2010 who needs consistency from every position on its team to make to at least 7-9 or 8-8, its the Oakland Raisers.
NFL betting is not keen on the Raiders in 2010, what do you think? Place your NFL bet now at www.sportsbook.com where everybody bets.